HORMUZ CLEARANCE OPERATIONS

MINE WARFARE // MCM TRACKING // TRANSIT METRICSOPEN IN OVERWATCH →

CENTCOM STATED MISSION

"SETTING CONDITIONS" FOR MINE CLEARANCE

95%

TRANSITS TODAY

5-11

78%

STRANDED IN GULF

600+

82%

US BLOCKADE

14 APR 1400Z — IRANIAN PORTS⚠

82%

IRGC WARNING

"THIS IS THE LAST WARNING"⚠

88%

SITUATION MAP // STRAIT OF HORMUZSTATIC — LIVE AIS PENDING OVERWATCH LINK

US NAVY

IRAN

UAE

MINE DANGER

DDG TRANSIT 11 APR

MCM OPS TRACKER

DDG-121 USS FRANK E. PETERSEN JR.

SHIP CLASS

ARLEIGH BURKE FLT IIA

STRIKE GROUP

CSG-3 / ABRAHAM LINCOLN

ROLE

AIR DEFENSE CDR (AEGIS 9C2)

LAST AIS

11 APR — TRANSITED WITH DDG-112

PREVIOUS POSITION

ARABIAN SEA / CSG-3 OPS AREA

AIS STATUS

DARK — LAST PING 11 APR

DDG-112 USS MICHAEL MURPHY

SHIP CLASS

ARLEIGH BURKE FLT IIA

STRIKE GROUP

CSG-3 / ABRAHAM LINCOLN

ROLE

NOT SPECIFIED IN REPORTING

LAST AIS

11 APR 12:26Z — 24 KTS / HDG 077.8°

PREVIOUS POSITION

JEBEL ALI, UAE (43 DAYS PRIOR)

AIS STATUS

DARK — LAST PING 11 APR 12:26Z

MCM FORCE LAYDOWN (OPEN SOURCE)

LCS MCM (TULSA/SANTA BARBARA)

OBSERVED IN MALAYSIA 15 MAR

LCS MCM (CANBERRA)

OBSERVED IN INDIAN OCEAN ~15 MAR

KNIFEFISH UUV

"WILL JOIN IN COMING DAYS" — CENTCOM

MCM READINESS

GAPS REPORTED

EOD UNITS

NO OPEN SOURCE REPORTING

TRANSIT METRICS

SRC: CNBC (B-2) / Al Jazeera (B-2) / IMF-MacroMicro (B-2) / Lloyd's List (B-2)EST. = interpolated from reported ranges

ACTIVE TRANSITS (STRAIT CHOKEPOINT)

IRAN-PERMITTEDIN / CN / PK / TR

BLOCKEDUS / UK / EU / JP / KR

SRC: CNBC (B-2) / Al Jazeera (B-2)

STRANDED / ANCHORED

STRANDED IN GULF (LLOYD'S LIST A-2)600+ (325 TANKERS)

REAL TRAFFIC VOLUME

AIS TRANSITS (STRAIT)5-11/d (Al Jazeera B-2)

DARK TRANSITS (SAR)PENDING — OVERWATCH SAR

REAL TOTAL (AIS + DARK)INCOMPLETE

PRE-CRISIS BASELINE107/d

SRC: Al Jazeera (B-2) / CNBC (B-2) / Lloyd's List (A-2)

OPERATIONS TIMELINE

28 FEB

US/ISRAEL STRIKES BEGIN — OP EPIC FURY / ROARING LION

A-1DoD

~10 MAR

IRGC BEGINS LAYING MINES IN STRAIT OF HORMUZ

B-2CNN

04 MAR

STRAIT EFFECTIVELY CLOSED — 21 TRANSITS DETECTED

B-2CNBC

18 MAR

IRAN ALLOWS SELECTIVE TRANSIT — IN/CN/PK/TR CASE-BY-CASE

B-2CNBC

07 APR

2-WEEK CEASEFIRE ANNOUNCED — PAKISTAN-MEDIATED

A-2CENTCOM

10 APR

STRAIT STILL CLOSED DESPITE CEASEFIRE

B-2Al Jazeera

11 APR

DDG-121/112 TRANSIT HORMUZ — AIS BRIEFLY ACTIVATED

A-1CENTCOM

11 APR

IRGC: "THIS IS THE LAST WARNING" — DRONE LAUNCHED TOWARD DDGs

B-2Fortune/PressTV

11 APR

CENTCOM: "SETTING CONDITIONS" FOR MINE CLEARANCE

A-1CENTCOM PR

12 APR

US ANNOUNCES BLOCKADE OF IRANIAN PORTS — 14 APR 1400Z

B-2Al Jazeera/WashTimes

12 APR

UK-LED 40-NATION COALITION FORMING FOR HORMUZ EFFORT

B-2Al Jazeera

INTEL ASSESSMENT

WHAT REPORTING SAYS

CENTCOM STATED MISSION

"SETTING CONDITIONS" FOR MINE CLEARANCE

UK-LED COALITION

40-NATION MCM COALITION FORMING

KNIFEFISH UUV

"WILL JOIN IN COMING DAYS" — CENTCOM

WHAT REPORTING DOES NOT SAY

MCM READINESS

GAPS REPORTED

EOD UNITS

NO OPEN SOURCE REPORTING

No reporting identifies MCM-dedicated vessels, mine hunting helicopters, or deployed UUV systems currently in theater. LCS with MCM mission packages were last observed repositioning toward the Pacific (The War Zone, B-2, 15 MAR).

OPEN QUESTIONS

?What specific MCM assets are en route and on what timeline?

?Are UUVs deployed aboard either DDG? (Not reported)

?What is the actual mine count and distribution? (Iran-published charts may overstate)

?Will the 14 APR blockade trigger IRGC escalation?

?What role will the UK-led 40-nation coalition play in MCM?

INDICATORS TO WATCH

▸LCS MCM pkg movement toward 5th Fleet AOR

▸MH-53E Sea Dragon forward staging reports

▸EODMU deployment reporting

▸Knifefish UUV confirmed arrival in theater

▸DDG-121/112 AIS status change

▸Additional warship transits

▸IRGC fast boat / drone activity in strait

▸Merchant vessel incident post-blockade

▸UK/allied MCM ship movements to Gulf

▸Oil futures reaction to 14 APR blockade