HORMUZ CLEARANCE OPERATIONS

MINE WARFARE // MCM TRACKING // TRANSIT METRICSOPEN IN OVERWATCH →

CENTCOM STATED MISSION

"SETTING CONDITIONS" FOR MINE CLEARANCE

95%

TRANSITS TODAY

5-11

78%

STRANDED IN GULF

600+

82%

US BLOCKADE

14 APR 1400Z — IRANIAN PORTS⚠

82%

IRGC WARNING

"THIS IS THE LAST WARNING"⚠

88%

SITUATION MAP // STRAIT OF HORMUZSTATIC — LIVE AIS PENDING OVERWATCH LINK

US NAVY

IRAN

UAE

MINE DANGER

DDG TRANSIT 11 APR

MCM OPS TRACKER

DDG-121 USS FRANK E. PETERSEN JR.

SHIP CLASS

ARLEIGH BURKE FLT IIA

STRIKE GROUP

CSG-3 / ABRAHAM LINCOLN

ROLE

AIR DEFENSE CDR (AEGIS 9C2)

LAST AIS

11 APR — TRANSITED WITH DDG-112

PREVIOUS POSITION

ARABIAN SEA / CSG-3 OPS AREA

AIS STATUS

DARK — LAST PING 11 APR

DDG-112 USS MICHAEL MURPHY

SHIP CLASS

ARLEIGH BURKE FLT IIA

STRIKE GROUP

CSG-3 / ABRAHAM LINCOLN

ROLE

NOT SPECIFIED IN REPORTING

LAST AIS

11 APR 12:26Z — 24 KTS / HDG 077.8°

PREVIOUS POSITION

JEBEL ALI, UAE (43 DAYS PRIOR)

AIS STATUS

DARK — LAST PING 11 APR 12:26Z

MCM FORCE LAYDOWN (OPEN SOURCE)static (agent state pending)

LCS MCM (TULSA/SANTA BARBARA)

OBSERVED IN MALAYSIA 15 MAR

LCS MCM (CANBERRA)

OBSERVED IN INDIAN OCEAN ~15 MAR

KNIFEFISH UUV

"WILL JOIN IN COMING DAYS" — CENTCOM

MCM READINESS

GAPS REPORTED

EOD UNITS

NO OPEN SOURCE REPORTING

TRANSIT METRICS

SRC: CNBC (B-2) / Al Jazeera (B-2) / IMF-MacroMicro (B-2) / Lloyd's List (B-2)EST. = interpolated from reported ranges

ACTIVE TRANSITS (STRAIT CHOKEPOINT)

IRAN-PERMITTEDIN / CN / PK / TR

BLOCKEDUS / UK / EU / JP / KR

SRC: CNBC (B-2) / Al Jazeera (B-2)

STRANDED / ANCHORED

STRANDED IN GULF (LLOYD'S LIST A-2)600+ (325 TANKERS)

REAL TRAFFIC VOLUME

AIS TRANSITS (STRAIT)5-11/d (Al Jazeera B-2)

DARK TRANSITS (SAR)PENDING — OVERWATCH SAR

REAL TOTAL (AIS + DARK)INCOMPLETE

PRE-CRISIS BASELINE107/d

SRC: Al Jazeera (B-2) / CNBC (B-2) / Lloyd's List (A-2)

OPERATIONS TIMELINEREFRESHING...

28 FEB

US/ISRAEL STRIKES BEGIN — OP EPIC FURY / ROARING LION

A-1DoD

~10 MAR

IRGC BEGINS LAYING MINES IN STRAIT OF HORMUZ

B-2CNN

04 MAR

STRAIT EFFECTIVELY CLOSED — 21 TRANSITS DETECTED

B-2CNBC

18 MAR

IRAN ALLOWS SELECTIVE TRANSIT — IN/CN/PK/TR CASE-BY-CASE

B-2CNBC

07 APR

2-WEEK CEASEFIRE ANNOUNCED — PAKISTAN-MEDIATED

A-2CENTCOM

10 APR

STRAIT STILL CLOSED DESPITE CEASEFIRE

B-2Al Jazeera

INTEL ASSESSMENTstatic (agent state pending)

WHAT REPORTING SAYS

CENTCOM STATED MISSION

"SETTING CONDITIONS" FOR MINE CLEARANCE

UK-LED COALITION

40-NATION MCM COALITION FORMING

KNIFEFISH UUV

"WILL JOIN IN COMING DAYS" — CENTCOM

WHAT REPORTING DOES NOT SAY

MCM READINESS

GAPS REPORTED

EOD UNITS

NO OPEN SOURCE REPORTING

No reporting identifies MCM-dedicated vessels, mine hunting helicopters, or deployed UUV systems currently in theater.

OPEN QUESTIONS

?What specific MCM assets are en route and on what timeline?

?Are UUVs deployed aboard either DDG?

?What is the actual mine count and distribution?

?Will the blockade trigger IRGC escalation?

?What role will the UK-led 40-nation coalition play in MCM?

INDICATORS TO WATCH

▸LCS MCM pkg movement toward 5th Fleet AOR

▸MH-53E Sea Dragon forward staging reports

▸EODMU deployment reporting

▸Knifefish UUV confirmed arrival in theater

▸DDG-121/112 AIS status change

▸Additional warship transits

▸IRGC fast boat / drone activity in strait

▸Merchant vessel incident post-blockade

▸UK/allied MCM ship movements to Gulf

▸Oil futures reaction to blockade