unclassified // osint // fouo
ORDN.OSINT
EOD INTELLIGENCE PLATFORM
FLASH: IRAN WAR DAY 41 — CEASEFIRE FRAGILE — STRAIT OF HORMUZ MINED AND CLOSED — FLASH: ISRAEL STRIKES BEIRUT 254+ KIA POST-CEASEFIRE — FLASH: HEZBOLLAH RESUMES ROCKET FIRE DAY 41 — FLASH: HOUTHIS BLOCKADING BAB EL-MANDEB — PRIORITY: 13,000+ TARGETS STRUCK BY US FORCES — PRIORITY: IRGC INTEL CHIEF MG KHADEMI KIA 06 APR —
SYS
NOMINAL

SITUATION BOARD

DAY 0
US/ISRAEL — IRAN WAR // 28 FEB 2026 —ⓘ CLICK ANY STAT FOR SOURCE PROVENANCE
UNITED STATES// OP EPIC FURY
TARGETS STRUCK
13,000+
95%
TLAM FIRED
850+
93%
SHIPS SUNK/DAMAGED
155
90%
AIRCRAFT LOST (ALL CAUSES)
~40
62%
F-15E (3 friendly fire + 1 SAM)4
A-10 Thunderbolt II2
F-35 (hit/damaged)1
MQ-9 Reaper drones17
KC-135 tankers8
E-3 AWACS2
C-130 variants2
Helicopters3
MQ-4C Triton1
US CASUALTIES
13 KIA / 381+ WIA
88%
TLAM STOCKPILE EXPENDED
~25%
Replenishment time2-3 YEARS
FY27 TLAM request785 missiles / $3B
EST. COST (US/COALITION)
~$45-60B
45% confidence
Estimated total cost of US military operations through day 41. Includes munitions, air operations, naval operations, air
ISRAEL// OP ROARING LION
IRAN THEATER
BOMBS DROPPED (IRAN)
4,000+
75%
COMBAT SORTIES (IRAN)
5,700
65%
LEBANON TARGETS STRUCK
3,500+
70%
LEBANON THEATER
Munitions deployed2,200+
Hezbollah KIA (IDF claim)1,000+
Lebanese killed (Health Min.)1,001+
Lebanese wounded2,584+
Displaced1,000,000+
254+ killed 08 APRLARGEST SINGLE DAY
ISRAELI CASUALTIES
35 KIA / 6,400+ wounded
80%
AIR DEFENSE EXPENDITURE
Arrow (ballistic intercept)HEAVY USE
David's Sling (medium range)HEAVY USE
Iron Dome (short range)SUSTAINED
Interceptor replenishmentUS EMERGENCY RESUPPLY
EST. COST (ISRAEL)
~$8-15B
35% confidence
No official figure. Derived from Arrow/Iron Dome interceptor costs + sortie rates.
IRAN// RETALIATION & CURRENT STATE
BALLISTIC MISSILES LAUNCHED
500+
85%
DRONES LAUNCHED
2,000+
80%
IRANIAN MILITARY CASUALTIES
6,400-7,300+ KIA
55%
STRIKE CAPACITY REMAINING
~10%
65%
EST. COST (IRAN — MILITARY)
~$2-5B
35% confidence
Derived from known unit costs of Shahab-3 (~$1-3M), Shahed (~$20-50K) multiplied by launch counts.
CAPABILITY REMAINING
Ballistic missiles10%
~90% launch sites destroyed
Drone production15%
Shahed factories targeted
Air defenses15%
80-85% destroyed (US+IDF)
 
Naval surface fleet5%
90% regular navy sunk / 50% IRGC-N
IRGC command30%
Intel chief + senior officers KIA
Mine warfare65%
Mines laid before degradation
INFRASTRUCTURE LOSSES
~$200B+
Military facilities, naval assets, oil/energy, nuclear sites, C2 nodes
MARITIME CHOKEPOINT STATUS
STRAIT OF HORMUZCLOSED — MINED BY IRGC
Global oil transit blocked25%
Global LNG transit blocked20%
MERCHANT ATTACKS
21
MINES LAID (EST.)
DOZENS+
Mine typesEM-52 / Contact / Influence
BAB EL-MANDEBRESTRICTED — HOUTHI SCREENING
SUEZ CANALDEGRADED — TRAFFIC REROUTED
CEASEFIRE & DIPLOMATIC STATUS
2-WEEK TRUCE — FRAGILE
Announced07 APR 2026
MediatorPakistan (Islamabad)
US-Iran directHOLDING
Israel-LebanonVIOLATED
Hezbollah fireRESUMED DAY 41
Strait of HormuzSTILL CLOSED
Bab el-MandebSTILL RESTRICTED
Iran rejected permanent ceasefire 06 APR. Temporary truce only. Israel not party to ceasefire terms in Lebanon. Netanyahu: "There is no ceasefire in Lebanon."

ACTIVE CONFLICTS

ORDNANCE ENCOUNTER MONITORING & THREAT EVOLUTION

US / ISRAEL — IRAN WAR

ACTIVE // DAY 41 // FRAGILE CEASEFIRE
CENTCOM

US-Israeli strikes on Iran began 28 FEB 2026 (Operations Epic Fury / Roaring Lion). Supreme Leader Khamenei killed in opening strikes. Iran retaliated with 500+ ballistic missiles and 2,000+ drones against Israel and US bases across Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE. By day 10 Iranian strike capacity dropped 90%. Fragile 2-week ceasefire announced 07 APR via Pakistan-mediated talks — immediately strained by Israeli strikes on Lebanon killing 254+. IRGC intel chief MG Khademi assassinated 06 APR. Strait of Hormuz mined and closed by IRGC. 13,000+ targets struck, 155 ships sunk/damaged by US forces. Houthis resumed Red Sea attacks and now screening Bab el-Mandeb traffic.

KEY THREATS

Iranian ballistic missiles (Shahab-3, Emad, Kheibar Shekan, Sejjil)Shahed one-way attack drones (2,000+ launched)IRGC naval mines — Strait of HormuzHouthi Red Sea / Bab el-Mandeb escalationHezbollah rocket barrages — northern IsraelUS Tomahawk TLAM (850+ fired)GBU-57 MOP bunker busters (B-2 delivered)F-35 JDAMs / SDBsHIMARS / PrSMAnti-ship missiles — both sides

EOD RELEVANCE

CRITICAL — Highest EOD relevance conflict globally. Massive UXO generation across Iran, Israel, Lebanon, Gulf states. Strait of Hormuz mine threat requires MCM operations before shipping can resume. Iranian ballistic missile debris across multiple countries. Houthi maritime IED/USV threat escalating in parallel. Post-ceasefire UXO clearance across the entire theater will be unprecedented in scale. NAVEOD, Army EOD, and coalition MCM forces all directly engaged.

STRAIT OF HORMUZ — MINE CRISIS

ACTIVE // STRAIT CLOSED
CENTCOM

IRGC began laying naval mines in the Strait of Hormuz on/around 10 MAR 2026. Iran published charts suggesting mined areas. 21 confirmed attacks on merchant vessels. Strait effectively closed — 25% of global seaborne oil and 20% of LNG transits blocked. Major shipping lines (Maersk, CMA CGM, Hapag-Lloyd) suspended transits. IRGC demanding $1M+ per transit and political screening of vessels. Mine types assessed: EM-52 rocket-rising, moored contact, bottom influence. MCM operations required before any reopening.

KEY THREATS

EM-52 rocket-rising minesMoored contact minesBottom influence minesIRGC fast attack craftUSV/WBIED attacks on shippingAnti-ship cruise missiles (coastal batteries)

EOD RELEVANCE

EXTREME — Mine clearance of the Strait of Hormuz is the defining MCM challenge. IRGC mine inventory includes Chinese-supplied EM-52 rocket-rising mines (most dangerous), Soviet-era moored contact mines, and Iranian-manufactured bottom influence mines. US MCM forces (Avenger-class, MH-53E, Knifefish UUV) will lead clearance. Uncharted minefields + damaged merchant vessels = extended EOD operations. Every Navy EOD unit in CENTCOM AOR is directly affected.

RUSSIA — UKRAINE

ACTIVE // HIGH INTENSITY
EUCOM

Largest conventional conflict in Europe since WW2. Massive UXO contamination across southern and eastern Ukraine. Full spectrum of Russian/Soviet ordnance encountered.

KEY THREATS

FAB glide bombsLancet loitering munitionsCluster submunitionsScatterable mines (PFM-1, PTM-1)Shahed/Geran dronesRail IEDs

EOD RELEVANCE

Highest volume UXO generation in EUCOM. New ordnance variants appearing monthly. Critical for pattern-of-life analysis on Russian munitions employment.

YEMEN — HOUTHI MARITIME / BAB EL-MANDEB

ACTIVE // ESCALATING — LINKED TO IRAN WAR
CENTCOM

Houthis resumed attacks on Israel and commercial shipping on 28 FEB 2026, synchronized with Iran war. Now screening vessels transiting Bab el-Mandeb by political identity — same selective-pressure model Iran applied to Hormuz. Suez Canal traffic rerouted around Cape of Good Hope. Combined maritime drone, ASCM, ballistic missile, and UAV attacks continuing.

KEY THREATS

Dual-warhead USVsAutonomous EO-guided USVsAnti-ship ballistic missilesCruise missilesShahed-type dronesNaval minesBab el-Mandeb strait closure threat

EOD RELEVANCE

Maritime IED evolution accelerating under wartime conditions. NAVEOD primary responder for USV/mine recovery. Houthi capability now directly integrated with Iranian strategic campaign — not an independent proxy action.

ISRAEL — HEZBOLLAH / LEBANON

ACTIVE // ESCALATING POST-CEASEFIRE
CENTCOM

Israel launched largest strike on Lebanon since war began on day 40 (08 APR), killing 254+ despite US-Iran ceasefire announcement. Hezbollah resumed rocket fire into northern Israel on day 41. Netanyahu stated there is no ceasefire in Lebanon. This front has become the primary obstacle to broader ceasefire holding.

KEY THREATS

Hezbollah rocket artillery (Grad, Fajr, Falaq, Fateh-110)ATGMs (Kornet, Konkurs)Iranian precision-guided munitionsTunnel-borne IEDsIsraeli JDAMs / SDBs / artillery UXO in Lebanon

EOD RELEVANCE

Dense urban UXO environment in Beirut and southern Lebanon. Israeli submunitions and PGM UXO. Hezbollah tunnel/bunker complexes with IED hazards. Dual-sided UXO contamination — both Israeli and Iranian/Hezbollah ordnance.

MYANMAR CIVIL WAR

ACTIVE // EXPANDING
INDOPACOM

Post-coup civil war with resistance forces gaining territory. Junta employing DPRK-supplied conventional weapons and improvised ordnance.

KEY THREATS

DPRK 240mm MRL rocketsImprovised mines/IEDsLegacy ordnanceAir-dropped munitions

EOD RELEVANCE

DPRK arms transfer monitoring. INDOPACOM AOR — directly relevant to EODMU-5 contingency planning.