unclassified // osint // fouo
ORDN.OSINT
EOD INTELLIGENCE PLATFORM
FLASH: IRAN WAR DAY 41 — CEASEFIRE FRAGILE — STRAIT OF HORMUZ MINED AND CLOSED — FLASH: ISRAEL STRIKES BEIRUT 254+ KIA POST-CEASEFIRE — FLASH: HEZBOLLAH RESUMES ROCKET FIRE DAY 41 — FLASH: HOUTHIS BLOCKADING BAB EL-MANDEB — PRIORITY: 13,000+ TARGETS STRUCK BY US FORCES — PRIORITY: IRGC INTEL CHIEF MG KHADEMI KIA 06 APR —
SYS
NOMINAL

SOURCES

55 UNIQUE SOURCES // 68 TOTAL CITATIONS // 55 PERSPECTIVE-TAGGED

SOURCING METHODOLOGY

ORDN.OSINT uses adversarial cross-referencing to provide the most complete and unbiased intelligence picture possible. Every data point is checked against multiple source perspectives — what the US reports about itself, what Iran reports about the US, what independent trackers observe, and how non-aligned and Eastern media frame the same events.

When sources agree, confidence is high. When they diverge, we show the range and explain why — whether the difference is a scope definition (e.g., Pentagon counting only manned shootdowns vs OSINT counting all aircraft), propaganda inflation, or genuinely contested information. Click any stat's (i) button for full source provenance.

Sources are rated using the NATO OSINT reliability scale (A-F reliability, 1-5 confidence). No single source is treated as ground truth. All information is UNCLASSIFIED // OSINT.

NATO SOURCE RELIABILITY SCALE

A
Completely ReliableOfficial government/military primary
B
Usually ReliableEstablished defense/news press
C
Fairly ReliableReputable secondary reporting
D
Not Usually ReliableSocial media OSINT, state propaganda
E
UnreliableUnverified propaganda
F
Cannot Be JudgedNew or unknown source
WESTERN / US-ALLIED[9]

Official US, Israeli, and allied government sources plus established Western defense press. These provide the baseline for US/coalition operations data. Bias: may underreport own losses, overstate adversary damage.

[A-1]
Pentagon (manned shootdowns only)Completely Reliable / Confirmed
1 citation
[A-1]
White House StatementCompletely Reliable / Confirmed
1 citation
[B-2]
CNNUsually Reliable / Probably True
2 citations
[B-2]
JanesUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
Naval NewsUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
NBC NewsUsually Reliable / Probably True
2 citations
[B-2]
UK-led 40-nation coalition (via Al Jazeera)Usually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
Fox NewsFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-3]
IDF Intelligence (via JPost)Fairly Reliable / Possibly True
1 citation
NON-ALIGNED[7]

Major international outlets not aligned with either side. Al Jazeera, Indian media, Asian press. Provides independent framing. Bias: editorial perspectives vary but not state-directed.

[B-2]
Al JazeeraUsually Reliable / Probably True
4 citations
[B-2]
CNBC (UAE oil CEO)Usually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
Asia TimesFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
Defence Security AsiaFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
Haaretz / Al ArabiyaFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
Middle East Monitor (FACTBOX)Fairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
The Week (India)Fairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
INDEPENDENT / OSINT[31]

OSINT aggregators, human rights NGOs, academic institutions, and conflict trackers. Often the most granular data. Bias: methodology varies, may lack access to classified information.

[A-1]
CENTCOM StatementCompletely Reliable / Confirmed
1 citation
[A-1]
DoD Epic Fury Fact SheetCompletely Reliable / Confirmed
1 citation
[A-1]
DoD Fact SheetCompletely Reliable / Confirmed
3 citations
[A-2]
Human Rights WatchCompletely Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-1]
ACLEDUsually Reliable / Confirmed
2 citations
[B-2]
Al Jazeera Live TrackerUsually Reliable / Probably True
2 citations
[B-2]
CBS NewsUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
Critical Threats (AEI)Usually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
Defence-Industry.euUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
Hengaw Organization for Human RightsUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
International Crisis GroupUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
Israel National NewsUsually Reliable / Probably True
3 citations
[B-2]
JPostUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-1]
Military TimesUsually Reliable / Confirmed
1 citation
[B-1]
Military.comUsually Reliable / Confirmed
1 citation
[B-2]
Navy TimesUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
Stars and StripesUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
StatistaUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[B-2]
Washington PostUsually Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
19FortyFiveFairly Reliable / Probably True
2 citations
[C-3]
Defence Trading AnalysisFairly Reliable / Possibly True
1 citation
[C-2]
Global Military TrackerFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
IranWarLive.comFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
Legal Insurrection (citing IDF)Fairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
SAZF FactsheetFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[C-2]
The InterceptFairly Reliable / Probably True
1 citation
[D-4]
Analyst estimateNot Usually Reliable / Doubtful
1 citation
[D-4]
Analyst estimate (based on 2024 Iran exchange costs + Lebanon ops)Not Usually Reliable / Doubtful
1 citation
[D-4]
Analyst estimate (based on Iraq 2003 daily rates adjusted)Not Usually Reliable / Doubtful
1 citation
[D-4]
Analyst estimate (unit costs × quantities)Not Usually Reliable / Doubtful
1 citation
[D-3]
EGYOSINT (@EGYOSINT via X)Not Usually Reliable / Possibly True
1 citation
EASTERN / RU-CN STATE[3]

Russian and Chinese state media. Amplifies adversary narratives and US/Israeli losses. Useful for understanding how the conflict is framed to non-Western audiences. Bias: state-directed editorial line.

[D-3]
Global Times (China)Not Usually Reliable / Possibly True
2 citations
[D-4]
RT (Russia)Not Usually Reliable / Doubtful
1 citation
[D-3]
Xinhua (China)Not Usually Reliable / Possibly True
1 citation
ADVERSARY / IRANIAN[5]

Iranian state media, IRGC statements, and affiliated outlets. Primary source for Iranian government claims. Bias: propaganda function, systematically underreports own losses and overstates enemy damage.

[D-3]
Iran Health MinistryNot Usually Reliable / Possibly True
1 citation
[D-3]
Iranian state media (PressTV)Not Usually Reliable / Possibly True
1 citation
[D-3]
IRGC (via semiofficial Iranian media)Not Usually Reliable / Possibly True
1 citation
[E-4]
Iranian state media (IRNA/PressTV)Unreliable / Doubtful
1 citation
[E-4]
Iranian state TV (via PBS/AP)Unreliable / Doubtful
1 citation